Wind of change

Day 942, 13:57 • Published in Serbia Serbia • by Lunatic2903
English version bellow

Skoro sve epske bitke u poslednjih mesec dana završile su se pobedom Phoenixa. Setimo se samo 3 bitke za Centralnu Mađarsku (Central Hungary), obe bitke za Liaoning, bitaka za Rhone Alps i Aquitaine. Izuzimajući prethodne napade na dve francuske high wood regije, a koje je Španija uprkos velikom minusu na samom početku vratila u sigurnu zonu, svi značajni momenti prethodnog meseca imali su na sebi pečat neke od Phoenix zemalja.

Prvi put posle višemesečne podređenosti suprotstavljenom EDEN-u, možemo objektivno govoriti o jačanju Phoenixa, te o ponovnom uspostavljanju ravnoteže između dva zaraćena bloka. Padom šumama bogatog Liona u mađarske ruke, Akvitanije u ruke originalnih vlasnika, Francuza, i uz odbranu naše azijske zlatne koke, Liaoninga, ponovno uspostavljanje balansa snaga je izvan svake dileme. Uz teritorijalni ekvilibrijum postignut prethodnih dana, možda čak možemo govoriti i o blagoj inicijativi Phoenixa, najviše zahvaljujući aktiviranim setovima MPP-ova na Balkanu. Sa druge strane, praktično jedina prednost EDEN-a na ovom polju jeste deficit Rusije kada su isti u pitanju, mada verujem da ni u najludjim snovima niko ne želi da aktivira MPP-ove države sa tolikim zlatnim rezervama i ekonomskim potencijalima.

Odnos troškova i dobiti je, u prethodnim danima, takođe na strani Phoenixa.

Osim duplih napada na španske tvrđave Lion i Bordo, kod kojih je uspešnost bila 50%, a ukupno su koštali oko 5.500 golda, naš savez nije imao značajnijih izdataka. Bar ne u ofanzivi. Sa druge strane, EDEN je na ofanzive potrošio daleko više:

3 x Central Hungary ~ 7.500 zlata
2 x Liaoning ~ 5.500 zlata
2 x Vojvodina i Istočna Srbija kao diverzije ~ 2.600 zlata
razlika u tenkovanju u prvoj borbi za LK ~ 7.000 zlata
razlika u tenkovanju u drugoj borbi za LK ~ 8.400 zlata

Gledajući ovih 5 najprimetnijih troškova, EDEN je napravio 31.000 zlata troška. Oduzmemo li od toga troškove 4 napada u Francuskoj i cenu mađarskog swapa do jugozapadne Francuske, dolazimo do toga da je EDEN potrošio oko 25.000 golda više nego Phoenix. Uz to, radi se o neuspešnim ofanzivama. Osim prostog troška, strana prihoda je takođe obećavajuća: dve najmoćnije nacionalne privrede u datom trenutku imaju Rusija i Srbija, obe članice Phoenix saveza. Ukoliko vam se čini da nisam objektivan u ovom zaključivanju, pogledajte bilo koji sajt koji se bavi statistikama bitaka, poput www.ereptools.net, bilo da je vezano za troškove ili za bruto domaći proizvod i prihode od poreza. Utrošak samih wellness packova i načinjenu štetu po potrošenom wellness paketu možete naći u sjajnom članku našeg prijatelja Mađara, Montaigne-a.

Na kraju ovog turbulentnog perioda za nama, vodećih 5 zemalja EDEN-a svedeno je na originalne regije. Hrvatska i Rumunija su praktično bez šanse da izađzu iz "kaveza" usled velikog broja aktivnih MPP-ova, Poljska i Španija su takođe svedene na originalne regije (Poljska ima par isturenih tačaka u Skandinaviji, ali bez preteranog strateškog značaja i bez ikakvog resursa na istim), dok će SAD vratiti Karnataku Indiji. Iseljivanje stanovništva u Kaliforniju je već počelo, i planirano je da traje oko mesec dana, nakon čega će Indija ponovo biti celovita.


eSrbija i dalje dominantna


Naša mogućnost da iz bitke u bitku za LK nanesemo preko 8 miliona odbrambenih poena je impresivna kako nama, tako i našim protivnicima. Trenutno držimo dva ubedljiva rekorda u ovom segmentu, bez realnih izgleda da nam iste neko ugrozi u skorije vreme.

Zbirni učinak naših 6 najjačih jedinica (Elita, Front, Vukovi, Garda, White Eagles i Autoboti) je u poslednjem okršaju na dalekom istoku iznosio 3.200.000 poena, što je za 400.000 nadmašilo ukupan skor cele američke armije, i to uz manji utrošak wellness paketića.

Kao dodatni bonus javio se i neočekivani napad Hrvatske na Vojvodinu, koji je dao nadu mnogima da san o srpskoj zastavi u eZagrebu nije daleko od ostvarenja. Ipak, u vidu treba imati i dugove naše države koji i dalje iznose koliko i pre nove LK bitke (nismo se dodatno zaduživali), a to je oko 8.000. Ipak, značajna industrija u Liaoningu koji smo sačuvali, uz izvoz preko Vallette, Serbian Graina i Serbian Irona jakim tempom smanjuje taj zaostatak. Verujem da će uskoro biti vraćena nova rata zajmodavcima, a da će ostale isplate biti prolongirane kako bismo određene vojne operacije u neposrednom okruženju uspešno sproveli u delo.


Operacija "Mušema"


Iako je entuzijazam na visokom nivou, možda će se do početka ove operacije čekati još par dana. Iako je naš savez na uzlaznoj putanji, ne treba smetnuti sa uma podatak da smo velike pobede napravili uglavnom potpomognuti visokim troškovima napada i još višim zidovima, a inicijalni zidovi tri dobro branjene hrvatske regije iznose po približno 500.000.

Imajući to u vidu, izbor taktike je sveden na mali broj alternativa, zapravo samo jednu: napad pred samu promenu dana, iz tri smera. Uz ovo, biće potrebno podići i čitav niz diverzija, poput ruskog vršljanja po Aziji i Skandinaviji, ili brazilskog napada na Northern Cape u Južnoj Africi, baš u jeku svetskog prvenstva. Inače, mišljenja sam da bi Sloveniju trebalo izostaviti iz ove zamišljene ofanzive, osim ako naravno sami ne izraze želju da učestvuju, a verujem da hoće. Ništa drugo, samo se radi o velikom riziku, i voleo bih da budu toga svesni kada do toga dođe. Nemci su karta na koju bih ja sigurno igrao.

Dva napada na Slavoniju i NWC stajaće oko 2.000 zlata, a za opremanje tenkova i armija će sigurno biti potrebno još bar 2 puta toliko. Naravno, mislim samo na srpski udeo u troškovima.

Uvek ostaje ono "ali". Ukoliko lansiramo neuspešnu ofanzivu, sve zemlje koje bi napale bi aktivirale i poljski MPP, a Mađarska bi i obnovila rumunski, koji su Hrvati nesrećno izgubili u trening ratu. Znajući hrvatsku sposobnost da čekaju povoljan trenutak i pokriveni drugim armijama i te kako naškode u okruženju, ovo "ali" nikako ne treba staviti u drugi plan. Lek je jako jednostavan - ako idemo, idemo do kraja. Prvi talas je sigurno najbitniji, jer bi u slučaju da bude uspešan sa naše i mađarske strane imobilisao oko 6.000 Hrvata. Ostatak bi bio samo rutinsko privođenje kraju, moguće uz mali bonus: Bosna nema MPP-ove radi swapa regija sa Hrvatima.

Jedino što nama, običnim građanima najjače eRepublik države, ostaje, je da što disciplinovanije dočekamo taj trenutak.


Pozdrav,
Lunatic2903



ENGLISH VERSION

First of all, I apologize if I made mistakes, I had less than 30 minutes to translate this. Sorry.


Almost all epic battles in the last month ended with the victory of Phoenix. Remember the three battles of Central Hungary, both battles of Liaoning, battles for high wood regions Rhone Alps and Aquitaine. With the only exception being two previous attacks on French high wood regions, both secured by Spain despite great disadvantage in the very beginning, almost every important moment in the last 30-40 days has been marked by some Phoenix country.

After being subordinate to EDEN for a past few months, we can say that Phoenix has strengthened it’s lines, and the balance between two conflicted alliances has been re-established. By conquering both Lyon (Rhone-Alps) and Aquitaine, and with Liaoning being secured by Serbia, it’s out of any doubt – after long time, the forces are balanced once again. Beside the territorial equilibrium, perhaps we can say that initiative is slightly retaken by Phoenix, mainly due to activated sets of MPP's in the Balkans. On the other hand, it seems like the only advantage of EDEN talking on this topic is a deficit of Russia, although I believe that no one would dare to activate MPP’s of such a wealthy country with insane gold reserves for today’s standards.

The ratio of costs and benefits in previous days is also on the side of Phoenix.

Except for double assault on the Spanish fortresses of Lyon and Bordeaux, where Phoenix needed second chance and 5.500 gold expenditures to grab a victory, Phoenix had no major expenses. At least not when talking of offensive actions. On the other hand, EDEN spent by far more, and even more interesting, they splashed the cash with no results at all:

3 x Central Hungary ~ 7.500 gold
2 x Liaoning ~ 5.500 gold
2 x Vojvodina and Eastern Serbia ~ 2.600 gold
tanking difference between EDEN and PHX in the first battle of LK ~ 7.000 gold
tanking difference between EDEN and PHX in the second battle of LK ~ 8.400 gold

By throwing a quick glance, we can see that EDEN had 31.000 gold of expenses (something like 15.000 gold of attack costs). If we subtract 5.500 gold of 2x(RA + AQ), plus the Hungarian swap expenses, we come to the fact that the EDEN spent close to 25,000 gold more than Phoenix. In addition, those offensives were failed attempts.
Besides simple costs, and looking at the income side: Russia and Serbia own the most powerful national economies of the New World at the moment, and they’re both regular members of the Phoenix Alliance. If you feel that my objectivity with this conclusion is at stake, check any site that deals with the statistics, such as www.ereptools.net, whether it is related to costs or the gross domestic product and income taxes. Consumption of wellness packs and cost-benefit of those you can find in the great article written by my dear Hungarian friend and comrade, Montaigne.

At the end of this turbulent period behind us, EDEN’s 5 leading members are compressed to their original size. Croatia and Romania have virtually no chance to come out of the the "cage" because of the large number of active MPP's against them, Poland and Spain were also reduced to the original size (Poland has a pair of protruding points in Scandinavia, but without excessive strategic importance, and without any resources on the same ), while the U.S. will return Karnataka to India. Their population is emigrating to California, and that process is scheduled to last about a month, after which India will once again have control over this high iron region.


Serbia still dominant


We have to agree that Serbian ability to re-deal 8 millions of damage from battle to battle of LK is impressive. Currently, Serbia holds two impressive records in this segment, with no real threat in any other state.

Cumulative effect of our six most powerful units (Elite, Front, Wolves, Guard, White Eagles and Transformers) in the last battle in the Far East amounted to 3.2 million points, which surpassed the total score of American army by 400.000, also with less wellness packs consumed.

As an additional bonus an unexpected attack of Croatia to Vojvodina occurred, which has given hope to many Serbian people that their dream about the Serbian flag in eZagreb is not far from realization. However, it should be mentioned that Serbia still owes 8.000 gold, the same amount like before the second round in LK (Serbian government made no additional debit). However, an important industry in Liaoning that is saved, with exports over Valletta, Serbian Iron and Serbian Grain is reducing the backlog quickly. I believe that new payment will be given to lenders soon, with other payments being prolonged in order to successfully carry out some military operations in the vicinity of Serbian western border.

Operation “Table cloth”

Although the enthusiasm is at a high level, the beginning of the operation might wait for a few more days. While Phoenix is in an upward path, we should bear in mind the fact that we have made great victories mainly supported by the high cost of attack and even higher walls, and the initial walls of three well defended Croatian regions (CC, NWC, SL) are approximately 500,000 each.

Bearing this in mind, the choice of tactics is reduced to a small number of alternatives, in fact only one: an assault minutes before day change, from three directions. In addition, it will be necessary to launch numerous diversions, such as those Russian in Asia and Scandinavia, and Brazil's attack on the Northern Cape in South Africa. I remind you that Slovenia and Germany have very powerful MPP sets against Croatia.

Two attacks on Slavonia and NWC will demand around 2,000 gold, and it will demand twice as much to equip armies and tanks. Of course, only the Serbian share of the costs.

Always remains the "but." If Phoenix fails, all the countries that invaded Croatia will trigger the Polish MPP, and Hungary would restore the Romanian MPP on Croatia side, since Croats unfortunately lost it in the training war. Knowing Croatia's ability to wait for a favorable moment and covered by other armies inflict harmful damage in the region , this "but" should not be put into the background. The cure is very simple - if we go, we have to do it real hard. The first wave is certainly crucial, because more than 6,000 Croats would be immobilized in the case of success. The rest would be a routine. Finally, I see another small bonus on the horizon: Bosnia has no MPP's in order to swap the regions with Croatia.


Regards,
Lunatic2903