The CP Race analysis you need to read
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by Mr Crumpets
Hi, I'm Mr Crumpets and I'm running for President... oops, sorry! Old habits do die hard!
Over the years of playing eRepublik, I wasn't just known for losing elections or being the scare campaign king. In my first year of playing I was known as one of country's best political analysts... able to fair point out the pros and cons of each candidate (including the aborted June 2010 campaign, which myself and four others were running in).
Today I will look at the three candidates that are in the hunt to be this country's president and their pros and cons (to date).
RANGER BOB
http://www.erepublik.com/en/citizen/profile/1343855
Ranger Bob is like the guru who sits at the top of the mountain.
Rarely does the man get involved in the fights/scraps happening down below. Occasionally someone will come up to him and ask for an opinion, which in return will be generally brief, but wise.
Ranger is a legendary figure held in high regard by most in this country. He was last leader when I was eBorn as CrowdedHouse way back in mid-2009. His party at the time was ADSP, now long gone.
Ranger's strength was leading a country occupation (to Indonesia) and having to negotiate with them the release of some of our states.
Ranger has decided to at last raise his hand to be leader again and lead a unity government.
Will this lead him to victory... absolutely.
Will his unity government succeed... NO!
As much as I have great respect for Ranger Bob, unity is a word that has been used too many times and failed to yield results for this country.
If Ranger was to lead a successful unity, he would, in my opinion, have to leave out a number of close friends from his government.
This is for two reasons...
1) Ego: There are a lot people in this country (me included) with an ego... from all different political persuasions. It's impossible to have them all in the same government working together and it's impossible to have some in and leave some out... all, I repeat all, with a big ego would have to be left out.
2) Dumping some good, but old tooth players: Despite his opponent Wingfield going a little 'off tap' he has raised an excellent point. Despite many changes in leaders, a lot of older players have held down their same government or military jobs. There's no denying those players have tried their best, but the results are not on the board for them. The question facing Ranger is... can he replace them with some new, yet qualified blood?
Wingfield
http://www.erepublik.com/en/citizen/profile/1441969
Wingfield cam flying out of the blocks early. As soon as the October election was over, Wingfeld began his campaign for November.
Wingfield comes from the party I founded, The Green and Gold Party. The GGP in versions one and two (and during it's eRepublik Alliance phase) was a centre party all about reform. It never really was a 'kick down the door' party (except in a few arguments with the ANP), but was all about looking at things differently.
Wingfield's first week of campaigning hinted as this type of approach, declaring we needed a shake up - which is true. Some were welcoming, others cautious.
All of that went to hell when he attacked Ranger Bob over his Unity Government plan... the slid further down when he attacked fellow citizens.
Attacking other candidates only works when, say your up against the ANP, and the contest is between 3 or 4 even candidates. The tactic there is to split the vote and hope you win a tight contest on the back of your core. Attacking a clear and likeable favourite just gives him the victory.
Wingfield will come second in the contest, but will be a long way behind Ranger. The reason is clear. His ticked off the long serving players, who will vote for Ranger early. This puts his name first on the ballot, where n00bs will most likely click. Game Over.
One point I should raise though in fairness, is the attack against Wingfield about his suggestion not to use the forums. A party CAN succeed and operate well without being on the forum. This was proven by Paul Hamon and his PaPP. Though the PaPP never won a CP race, they got close several times and held a fair number of seats over many months.
If only Wingfield had stuck to being more moderate and tempered in his writing, he still could have contested this election with some respect. He would have still lost, but it would have done his future chances no harm.
Irule777
http://www.erepublik.com/en/citizen/profile/5008601
Irule777 is the current Vice President of Australia and member of the APP.
Irule777's campaign to date has been fairly low-key, moderate and considered.
Unlike Wingfield who went 'off tap' at the talk of Unity Government, Irule777 has decided to play the ball and not the man. He has stuck to the issues at hand and gives a good explanation.
He may not be winning votes at this stage, but is certainly winning respect in the community with his approach.
It's very ironic. With all this talk of 'Unity' from Ranger Bob and 'Reform' from Wingfeld, irule777 seems to offer the best of both worlds, but is not seen to be a chance at this stage.
There is a flaw though to irule777 at the moment. He is deputy to PhoenixGreen in his Government. A government that has stalled. Like many before, promised so much, got off to a flying start... then like public service always is... it got boring and mundane, so the little things stopped.
If you're wondering what I'm talking about, it's education and information (very important in this game) that's gone quiet.
However, if Irule777 can jump start the Government and get it firing on all engines again, it just boost his chances on election day.
Like I said earlier, there is no doubt that Ranger Bob is the clear favourite to win, with Wingfield to nudge out Irule777 for second.
Who am I going to vote for?
Hard to say at this stage. I like Irule777's moderate approach, but he, like both Ranger and Wingfield are yet to convince me that there cabinets will work for the full term.
I'm Mr Crumpets.... and that's my opinion.
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Comments
Awesome article is awesome!
Good article apart from one thing. There is no notion of a 'unity' government. What is means is we all band together for the elections to divert any chance of PTO, through methods such as running primaries on the forum, rather than winging it on the day.
Other than that, good article o/
Good article.
~Roboa~
Read, Voted and appreciated due to seeing "~Roboa~" in the comments.
~Roboa~
~Roboa~
"He may not be winning votes at this stage, but is certainly winning respect in the community with his approach." x2
I am liking Irule more and more as this thing goes on. The guy is basically fighting impossible odd, yet he is in it for the long haul. Respect is growing daily for him and I hope he really does stick around for a few more shots at the title. Definitely CP material there.
oh and
~Roboa~
Go Wingfield.
Never given you props for sht CH but this is a damn good article mate with relevant points of concern. Nice job.
TJ, this is CH where he belongs. and there ain't none finer... its when he actually tries to play politics that things go all pear shaped.
~Roboa~
You suprised me, again V+S
Good article, CH. Welcome back : )
Good article as usual CH. Good reading. Although it is possible to have all the egos in the same cabinet, provided the leader lets them know where they stand and their role. I did it with my own first term. The people I had were the best, had the egos which were well deserved, they knew their jobs and did them well. We shall see what happens though. Again, a really good analysis as usual.
Your right XG. It is possible but only if they accept their jobs. If the certain egos want to be CP, they will not accept anything less.. They will remain hard headed even if it means losing our country
pretty sure most of the big ego's have had their turn in the big chair... I liked it so much I sat in it twice. >.>
ppft you had it easy larni, you didnt have indo and NZ breathing down your neck while being wiped xD
but you are right with most of the big egos have had their turn, which i think helped level most out when it comes to cabinet, they realise the stress and expectation, its like a Presidential bond, they know whats happening.
oh I know I had it easy Tim, I was holding most of eNZ states on their's and eIndo request... Technically I can even claim to be the most successful CP EVER, 10 regions pretty much the entire time and a complete assload of taxeswith not a single glance from eIndo at our borders.
Even then it was a flat out job that needed complete commitment and focus.
Being CP in a situation that we are now in... that calls for a certain type of person. A person that will look around, seeking out the best people for all positions. I know that Ranger and Irule have both contacted me 😉 and was a little confused that Wingfield decided to attack me rather than asking for my help... I hope he at least asked you to be his MoFA Tim....
ive heard nothing from wingfield, it doesnt surprise me though
i must say i was impressed when i did the occasional log in and saw Aus doing well, i have to give credit where its due!
It's usually the egos in the senate that drive the PM insane, not the egos in the cabinet...lol
True XG but the CP needs to realise the position isn't a monarchist appointment. The CP also needs to work with their Cabinet, the Congress, Military Units and foreign governments to achieve. Some seem to believe the position is omnipotent in nature.
They are in for a very rude awakening indeed - there is no position that makes you feel quite so powerless in the face of the constant barrage. I have a great respect for CPs who last until the end of term and get past the 3 week burnout. The winner also needs to be prepared for the inevitable cursed personal disaster that haunts our CPs.
All successful CPs have Cabinets with more than four people that work consistently. Understand that and any monkey can look good pushing the shiny buttons.
So far so good. Nice analysis.