A Majority Would Support US Intervention

Day 1,578, 19:48 Published in USA Canada by Alias Vision

Thanks to everyone that took the time to answer the quick survey questions. Based on participation and article votes (more than 25, less than 50), I performed one random draw. The winner is Aeriala. Congratulations, the prize should be in your possession by the time you read this.

Bias.

The first thing I need to acknowledge as I start the analysis of the results is the presence of a pretty big bias. Here I'm not talking of my personal opinions but rather the fact that non-Canadian participation was modest.



As you can see, the proportion is equal between Americans and Canadians, however when we account for the expats, the proportion of the later rises to 73.7%.

Immigration.

The willingness, desire, need to change countries and having done so in the past could greatly affect the perception of a respondent. Conversely, those that have known but a single home in the New World could be expected to have strong opinions as the survey progressed and questions of territory and intervention occurred.



A majority of those that answered had been displaced in the past. Some forcefully, a greater proportion by choice.



As we can see, the most popular option identified when discussing the adoption of a new citizenship was a desire for change. It trumped all other reasons by a wide margin as "bonuses" was listed a distant second at 13.2%.

Where did the people move from? Without surprise in the context of this exercise, Canada was first with 26.3%. Second was New Zealand at 7.9%, Philippines at 5.3%. Other countries listed include: Croatia, Indonesia, Norway, Peru, Slovakia, South Africa, United Kingdom and the US (from Canadians). Sample permitting, which may come with time, it would have been interesting to see how this further breaks down.

Activity pattern.

Previously I had tried to measure activity by average logins and time spent. This time I thought it may be more telling to ask the question based on external forum use, media readership and activity. It could also later serve to cross-reference answers having to do with current events.



The casual members of our community will always be the toughest to capture and quantify. The vast majority of respondents listed themselves as engaged or committed. It makes sense as the most logical way of having encountered this survey would have come with the investment of time in reading media and external sources.



The same proportion, those that can be said to be very active, also said they were aware of the situation in Canada. With 73.7% of the sample being Canadians or recently immigrated, anything else would have been shocking.

Situation in Canada.

So where does everyone fall in terms of support? When accusations of treason start being thrown around, you know people are taking sides.



A majority did not express support for one group (here defined as Government vs. Exiles) over the other. A majority simply stated that the situation had devolved and should be considered out of control. The seven point gap in support favoring the Exiles over the Canadian Executive is actually not that big and rather clearly illustrates that the population, like in most things, is pretty evenly split.

Or does it? When we refine the question a little and ask respondents which statement they identified with the most, a majority said they thought the Government had lost control.



The next most popular statement (once we remove the not applicable and don't knows) becomes the one that favours intervention by Terra/Eden. The question here was asked carefully in terms of "alliances" intervention and would not specify the nature of the intervention.

Finally, when placed in the context of a specific American mediation of the dispute, the answers shifted once more.



A greater percentage of respondents think both military and diplomatic intervention would be acceptable and overall 55.3% thought the US should get involved. 42.2% opposed outside influences and half of that went further saying that foreign powers should never get involved in domestic issues.

Conclusion.

Since this survey was administered, some of the Canadians in Exile have launched a campaign to "raise the cost" of supporting the perceived corruption in Canada and its most notorious thief. The Canadian Executive and media have responded with an attempt to marginalize the combatants and have attempted to frame the debate in terms of treason and revenge. What we are seeing is citizens entrenching themselves on both sides of the divide and raising the stakes.

The rest of the New World and more specifically the allies, have no choice but to pay attention as this kind of conflict can fast grow and become a drain on the military resources of those that get involved.

Moving on and next survey.

At this point I would have liked to concentrate on the American political landscape and perhaps run two or three surveys in preparation for the next Country President election cycle. However, as the breakdown of this survey has shown me, I may need a bit more time to get more familiar with the US and its media culture.

So until the next publication... I hope you have enjoyed this one.