There Is Always A Cost
![Japan](http://www.erepublik.net/images/flags_png/S/Japan.png)
Sophia Forrester
It has become a cliche, that "nothing in life is free." There is a cost to anything, the saying goes, and if you appear to be getting a free lunch, you are probably being hoodwinked. Like many sayings, there is both wisdom to be gleaned from it and foolishness that can arise from taking it too far. However, looking at the results of this war, it seems particularly apt. Perhaps now more than ever before in eJapan's history, we are witnessing the law of unintended consequences.
The most obvious of these is inflation. In order to finance the war, the Imperial Diet, with scarcely no dissenting voices, has printed thirty thousand new Yen. The entire cost of war has been paid by the printing press, with newly minted Yen as well as Gold derived from putting these Yen into circulation. The Finance Ministry has also taken it on itself to sell Yen at a price lower than that authorized by Congress, adapting on its own initiative to its own created devaluation.
There is nothing inherently right about any value for a currency. One is as good as another, as far as most issues are concerned. A free market depends on the value of currency, and currency gains value from its scarcity. Devaluation destroys the value of the savings of our citizenry, both business owners and ordinary citizens. Companies must continually raise their prices and wages or else find that the value of those prices, and wages, has fallen while they slept. In moderation this need not be a bad thing. But for the Yen to lose a tenth of its value in less than a week is not moderation. Neither was this planned. In fact, the one Member of the Diet to suggest that this might happen was shouted down on the Diet floor.
Devaluation is almost always a one-way street. Unless future Diets are willing to throw caution to the winds again and devalue the Yen even further, they will not be able to reap the windfalls of this past month, nor the more moderate gains of the several months before since the Dokomo administration first began printing Yen faster than the economy grew. Previous administrations had kept the Yen stable at .033 Gold per JPY. President Dokomo used a vote of the Congress to justify taking it lower. Yet this recent devaluation was merely a vote to print and spend money, with no thought of the consequences Without the Diet's authorization, the Finance Minster has also begun to sell Yen for the new reduced rate. With the flood of Yen to companies both foreign and domestic, the economy would have to grow quite a bit before the value ever began rising again.
This is only the most tangible hidden cost of the war. It has cost us the goodwill of South Korea, once one of our closest friends. It has cost us the respect of foreign nations who had formerly seen Japan as a force standing against aggression. It has cost us our confidence in our own rectitude and, if foreigners seize a pretext to invade, it might very well cost us our freedom.
The times ahead may be stormy, and this storm was of our own making. Still, I retain hope for my country. If we realize integrity once again, we may reclaim our honor.
UPDATE: As I write this, we have just lost the region of Gyeonggi-do, site of Seoul, capital of South Korea. Although our government had invested huge sums in Seoul's defense, including a Q5 hospital purchased with printed Yen, we were unable to hold onto it. The victory of course is a pyrrhic one for South Korea, as they too had lost their only Q5 hospital when Gyeonngi-do was originally taken. How much more blood and treasure must we lose?
Comments
The cause of inflation is simple: from the economy seized more Gold than it is poured.
Ways of funds:
1. Gold medals from the citizens. Than more novice then greater inflow.
2. Revenues from exports. The product is sold in another country, another currency changed to gold, which is returned to our economy.
3. Proceeds from the black market. If we have the cheapest products in the world (grain), then coming to us a crowd of black brokers who sell gold and buy our products (grain).
Ways to waste Gol😛
1. Lana.
2. Purchase of goods and raw materials abroad.
Obviously, to attract more Gold in the eJapan need to keep the lowest prices for grain. And make it very much. A grain is now one of the most expensive kinds of raw resources.
eWorld grain price is 0.0099 gold per Q1. We have cheapest grain at 0.0108 gold per Q1. Grain price must be at 0.36 JPY per Q1. But we have lowest price at 0.4 JPY
If we can sell 5000 Q1 grain per day then we can receive about 50 gold per day in our economy.
good points, voted
Excellent article.
It is good to see you back posting articles in our media. Long may it continue - and I hope that people take heed of your sage advice too.
Thank you for sharing your concerns. To be clear, I am not an expert on the economy, which is why I tend to defer to the Minister of Finance who - I would assume - is the government's expertise on matters related to the economy. If the Minister of Finance takes arbitrary action, my immediate guess would be that he had good reason to do so and is well aware of the consequences. Perhaps concerned groups could lobby for a better explanation from the Minister of Finance. Good points.
The last 2 arcticals of yours have been written beautifully. I look forward to the next. V+S.
It has been indeed long time since your reflection took flight.
I do not know where and how this will end with those for and against on both sides of the border, but let us see where it will take us.
Vote and sub. looks good
Good articles.
WE WILL FIGHT FOR HONOR.
WE WILL FIGHT UNTIL THE LAST DROP OF THE COIN.
WE WILL PREVAIL.
I guess its a good thing i got rid of my yen savings in this war. At least they were put to good use
As peacetalks faltered then fighting is all we have left.
As someone who wasted many of the best years of my life trading currency IRL, there was no basis in e-reality for our yen to be so strong. Stronger or on par with rare high resource having countries for a country of our size is pretty silly. And yes, I am a eJapan consumer and business owner, so the change has had a negative impact on me. But I consider it a market correction for the greater good.
Excellent article, thank you for bringing attention to this. Moderation (and stability) is good, and as you wrote, "for the Yen to lose a tenth of its value in less than a week is not moderation."
I haven't been in the National Forums today, but let me guess who were the ones to shout down the dissenting voice... the same people who shouted down my calls for a more restrained monetary policy back in January...?
eRepublik does not have exactly the same inflationary dangers as in real life (due to currency being permanently removed from the system by dead citizens, etc.), but printing more money without at least some corresponding growth in the economy eventually leads to inflation.
Garcia-san,
The value of a currence only makes sense in comparison with the value of commodities, and with other currencies. So saying it was "too strong" or "too weak" is meaningless. Devaluation isn't bad because it changes one arbitrary exchange rate into a different, "worse" rate -- devaluation is bad because it saps the value of savings and disrupts the economy.
As far as the exchange rate with other countries, in large part it's because they had less frugal monetary policies. It came back to bite them of course, as it will us. But the sooner we plug the leak, the better for our long-term economic health.
If we spent printed money at ALL it ought to give value added to the economy. This war, as of today, has only given us two new territories that we will probably lose quite soon. And the value of the currency has plunged 10% as a result -- in theory, that means the new printed funds for this past week's war are now one tenth of all the Yen in circulation. Some of this is psychology though -- the Yen had been stable for a while so when it drops, it tends to drop further. The monetary recklessness has been going on for months.
Generally I agree with the article but I don't agree with the "devaulation too strong, too weak and that arbitary exchange rates doesn't mean anything" part.
As you mentioned devaluation is a short term robbing of citizens and companies (their savings worth less, and usually devaluation means that overnight "export" will increase and foregingrs will rob the cheap goods from companies on the market). This is good for the state and bad for the citizens and companies.
Additionally there is a longer consequence, you also rob the future generation by it. Because printing costs gold and results in Yen, today you printed for 0.033, tomorrow you print for 0.03 next time you print for 0.025 or so, meaning your cost will be the same (in gold) but the gained Yen will worth less and less (the cost of printing is fixed and it takes gold).