Luck - Or the probabilistic chance of a certain event happening
Releasethe Krakken
All over the fair lands of eRepublik 3 scenes are playing out:
1. I won nothing butt 20 bits - Plato you #*#**##*#* which can be mathematically simplified to
2. And I assume the other group - those buggers that actually won something 🙁
3. Those other guys ...
Actually I belong to group 2
I had 14 raffle tickets and won 4 prizes 50 + 1 gold plus 25 gold plus a prestige booster plus another prestige booster.
An old poker saying says good luck is only bad luck with a sombrero on. Or is it the other way around.
Statistically there was 8000 players participating so 10% of the whole eRepublik if I remember the numbers right. So 90% of people could give x amount of f* for Plato's raffle.
There was 8800 prizes available .
This is where things went a little bit screwy. Because there was 140000 tickets.
So an average of 17.5 tickets per player. And calculating each ticket had a 8800/140000 * 100/1 chance of winning a prize. Therefore each ticket had a 6.28% chance of winning a ticket.
If we look at the winners of the top prizes in the top 5 I think there is 4 players over level 200 in experience. Simply put and someone else can do a statistical article but the more tickets you had in there the more chances you had to win the big prizes.
And there is where things is a bit screwy if 90% of players did not bother to get 1 tickets. All players who got nothing spare a thought for the one player who was the biggest loser of them all:
because he invited 80000 players to his party and only 8000 came
🙁
Comments
There are under 20,000 active erep players globally.
there is a count on off topic in the global forum.
Almost 8,000 players with over 140,000 Raffle Tickets have participated in the Winter Raffle . on my country -> society active players is shown as 86000. now if only barely 8000 players bothered to gain 200 prestige points during the few weeks this ran it indicates a very low participation in the game . which is what im saying. we dont need to go beyond his own numbers to show there is a problem. and remember you got tickets as well for buying packs gold as well. tells a lot.
Haha stupid Plato! Let's all laugh at him!
😃
v
Didn't you have to set up your bitcoin wallet/Xapo account to be included in the raffle? I ask as I still have my raffle tickets and the raffle supposedly took place a long time a go...oh yes and I never set up any account.
up to basic verification but yes you have to. did you claim your prizes?
No, I didn't. I have a n issue with Bitcoin so I won't be having anything to do with Xapo, bitcoin or this raffle.
ok but you need not actually do that much you can create a normal username password to xapo and get your rewards.